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Are You Dreaming of a White Christmas? - LEX18.com | Continuous News and StormTracker Weather

Are You Dreaming of a White Christmas?

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Are you dreaming of a white Christmas? Historically, and sadly again this year our chances for a white Christmas are low for the Bluegrass. Lexington has about a one in six chance of a white Christmas each year. Chances are a little better for northern Kentucky, meanwhile they are lower to the south.

The traditional definition of a white Christmas is at least one inch of snow on the ground (one inch snow depth) on Christmas morning. The last time that happened in Lexington was in 2010; there were two inches on the ground that morning. The last time it snowed on Christmas was five years ago, but it was just a coating.

So where are the best places in the Lower 48 for a white Christmas? Based on a 30-year average, most of Idaho, Minnesota, and Maine, along with upstate New York are safe bets. The Allegheny Mountains of Pennsylvania and West Virginia, and, of course, the Rockies and the Sierra Nevada Mountains all have a high probabilities. The closest locations for even a 50/50 chance of an old-fashioned white Christmas are a state away in Ohio and West Virginia.

(Credit: Climate.gov)

As of the morning on December 22nd, 37% of the continental United States has some amount of snow of the ground. That number is likely to rise before Christmas morning. A series of storm systems will be tracking through the Midwest, Ohio Valley, and the Northeast before Monday. Additional snowfall will be possible, and some lucky folks may even receive the elusive inch of snow.

Here in Kentucky, our chances for a white Christmas are low but not zero. We are tracking the potential for flurries and a few light snow showers the night before Christmas. The current trend keeps most of the snow with this quick system across Ohio, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia. It's not to say that we will see snow or that some snow may start sticking, especially around eastern Kentucky. Any accumulation would be very light. Stay tuned. Bill and Seth will be tracking snow chances, and Santa, on the MaxTrack Live Doppler over the weekend!

Merry Christmas! I hope you enjoy the season.

- Meteorologist Jill Szwed

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