Nice weekend, then...winter

First snow potential early next week
Posted at 7:52 AM, Nov 28, 2020

Things remain quiet early Saturday as a layer of clouds sit over chilly temperatures in the upper 30s/low 40s. The MaxTrack remains clear, despite the cloud coverage, but a few drizzle showers are possible, especially in foggy spots. Clouds will decrease today as high-pressure slides in, between storm systems. Saturday will be about as nice as yesterday, but with temperatures running about 5 degrees cooler. Still, enjoy it, because winter is about to arrive.

As we move closer to early next week, all eyes are on a low and a cold front combo that will bring our first snowfall of the season. At this point, it’s not a matter of “if” but “when” and “how much.” Luckily, timing is becoming more apparent, but amounts are still all over the place, so we’ll touch on both. First thing’s first, this weekend. We start Saturday with some thin higher-level cloud coverage, but thick low-level cloud coverage for some. We’re start the day seeing those clouds slowly erode. By the afternoon, clouds will give way to sunshine allowing temperatures to warm somewhere near 50 degrees. Due to the clearing overnight into Sunday temperatures will have a chance to fall into freezing territory, but nor much below that. Through the day on Sunday, Clouds will increase as the low from the south closes in. A front from Canada is dragging in cold air and when the two systems meet, the magic happens. So as a general timeline, rain showers arrive late Sunday and into Monday morning. Snow is not expected overnight into Monday morning as temperatures are expected to still be in the upper 40s. Instead, it will take a few hours for the cold air to transition in, keeping only rain showers until about middle to late morning hours on Monday. As the cold air meets the rain, snow will begin to mix in. The snow will mix in from the northwest starting near the Ohio River middle to late Monday morning, and slide east through the afternoon. Bluegrass Counties will see the transition begin around late Monday morning, Lakes region will be an around noon transition, Eastern and Southeastern Kentucky will have their rain/snow mix sometime in the afternoon/evening hours. By late evening, with temperatures below freezing, everyone should be experiencing scattered snow showers. These scattered snow showers will continue into Tuesday. Once again, amounts are skewed between models. It’s generally looking like at least a couple of inches will fall. Travel impacts will occur as the transition happens and through the snowfall hours. Expect travel to be difficult late Monday morning, through Tuesday evening.