Active weather is on approach with the next low-pressure system working east of the Mississippi River. We will get the center of low pressure meaning a very good chance for rain and thunderstorms. The morning so far has been mostly quiet with a light easterly wind and some morning haze or valley fog. Rain will move in shortly and will continue through the day with thunderstorms arriving in the afternoon.
The bulk of the rain will be here in the afternoon, but rain showers will arrive through the mid-morning hours for most. Rain will be widespread and light to moderate.
Thunderstorms will need some heating to flare up and should start firing around the early to middle afternoon. Strongest of the activity will reside in the southern and southeastern counties.
The Storm Prediction Center has south-central Kentucky counties under a “slight” risk for severe thunderstorms. The “marginal” risk extends north to the Bluegrass Parkway and the I-64 corridor and out east to the Tug Fork.
Main threats will be damaging wind gusts and hail. There will be some rotation in the storms thanks to the center of low-pressure passing overhead, so an isolated spin-up tornado is possible, however it is on the lower end of the threats. As with all strong storms, heavy rain and lightning are also factors.
This system is expected to be a rain producer with a collective 0.50” – 1.50” of rain expected. Localized amounts will exceed this and could push over 2.00” through the day. Watch for high water if you will be out on the roads and remember to NEVER drive through a flooded roadway.
Rain will continue through the day Sunday as temperatures fall impressively. We’ll run in the 40s most of the day Sunday, so expect a cold rain until the evening. Temperatures will start cold Monday (upper 30s) but a rebound will bring us through the beginning of the week, with a little sunshine.