This winter has brought a lot of ups and downs. We've never really settled into a consistent pattern. This week will be no different. We're trending mild and soggy to get things started. Presidents Day will be cloudy and warmer with highs in the mid 50s. Rain showers will develop Monday night as a system moves out of the Midwest and towards the Great Lakes. The best chances will come on Tuesday morning. Rainfall totals are expected to be relatively low, on the order of 0.25" to 0.50". Flooding shouldn't be a big concern. A cold front will dive through the Commonwealth Tuesday afternoon. Showers will taper off and temperatures will begin to fall.
The pattern flips late week. Another batch of colder air will arrive. Highs will drop from the 50s to the 30s and 40s through late week. Our skies will eventually brighten as high pressure slow drifts through the Ohio Valley and the Southeast into next weekend.